Broncos vs. Seahawks odds, picks: Point spread, totals, player previews, trends, live stream for MNF Week 1

It’s the perfect way to end the first week of the 2022 NFL season. On Monday night, Denver Broncos rookie quarterback Russell Wilson will return to Seattle to face his former team in the Seahawks. The Broncos are currently on the second-longest active playoff drought in the NFL, but they expect that to change with an upgrade at quarterback.

Denver leads the all-time series against Seattle 35-21, including the playoffs. The Broncos are also 8-2 in their last 10 games, while the Seahawks are looking to win their fourth straight Week 1 game. The last time the Seahawks lost a season opener at home was in 1999. On paper, the Broncos look like the better team, but in an emotional game like this, you never know what can happen.

Below, we’ll break down this matchup from a betting perspective and examine the line movement, Over/Under and player props to consider. First, here’s how you can watch Monday’s game.

All NFL odds are via Caesars Sportsbook.

How to watch

Date: Monday, September 12 | Time: 8:15 pm ET
Location: Lumen Field (Seattle, Washington)
TV:
ESPN | Transmission: fuboTV (click here)
Follow: The CBS Sports app
Odds: Broncos -6.5, O/U 44

Injury report

The Broncos may not have former Cowboys wide receiver Gregory active for his first game as a Bronco, as he is questionable to play with shoulder and knee issues. However, he was a limited participant in practice all week, which could be seen as a positive. Hamler and Turner were also limited participants all week. Turner is listed as a starter on the offensive line, so he’s certainly someone to keep an eye on.

The Seahawks have several key players listed as questionable for Monday night, as rookie Walker is trying to return from a hernia procedure, and Lewis is still working his way back from a nagging foot injury he suffered in the preseason. Seattle’s offensive line is a question mark, and Geno Smith would be more comfortable with Lewis in the lineup.

Line movement

Latest Chances:

Denver Broncos -6

The Broncos opened as 3.5-point favorites on May 12. On July 6, the line went up to DEN -5. On August 21st, we saw another big bump down to -6 DEN. On Monday September 5, the line rose half a point to -6.5 DEN.

Pick: Broncos -6.5. This game was actually included in mine the top five picks of the week. Here is my reasoning:

“I’ve thought for years now that the Broncos’ roster has been worthy of contending. They just haven’t had good play from the most important position in football since the days of Peyton Manning. With Russell Wilson coming in, Denver could legitimate life. squad.

“I don’t think the Broncos go out and win by 30 points on Monday night. Wilson and first-year coach Nathaniel Hackett probably need more time to understand each other before this offense looks like a painted machine. good. but I believe that line is too low. I appreciate Pete Carroll for giving the appearance that he’s excited about his roster, but I don’t think anyone else is.”

Over/under 44

The total opened at 41.5 on May 12. On August 28, it rose to 42. On September 4, it rose again to 43. Last Tuesday, it took another rise to 44.

Selection: Under 44. You can’t exactly rely on last year’s stats because we have different quarterbacks running different offenses. I expect Wilson and the Broncos to be contenders, but that doesn’t mean they’re going to come out and drop 40-plus against Seattle. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Cowboys game was gross. Can we see something like this? This is not my best bet, but the underdog is on the Under.

Props Russell Wilson

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Passing shots: 1.5 (Over -133, Under -103)
Passing yards: 253.5 (Over -117, Under -117)
Pass attempts: 33.5 (Over -123, Under -111)
Pass endings: 22.5 (Over -115, Under -119)
Longest pass completion: 36.5 (Over -157, Under +114)
Interceptions: 0.5 (Over +123, Under -169)

I would go ahead and hit that Over on the batting passes. Like I said, I’m not expecting a shootout, but two shots are, dare I say it, possible. I’d stay away from passing attempts and completions in this case for two reasons: The Broncos are expected to win, and we don’t know exactly what this offense will look like. I’m sure Nathaniel Hackett wants to move on with his quarterback, but at the same time Denver has two talented backs it can use if things get out of hand early. Wilson to throw an interception in plus money is tempting, but I won’t play it. He threw six interceptions in 14 games last year.

Props Geno Smith

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Passing shots: 1.5 (Over +165, Under -234)
Passing yards: 209.5 (Over -115, Under -119)
Pass attempts: 30.5 (Over -113, Under -121)
Pass endings: 18.5 (Over -113, Under -121)
Longest pass completion: 36.5 (Over -111, Under -123)
Interceptions: 0.5 (Over -179, Under +129)

I won’t touch Smith’s prop. As for his passing yardage numbers, it’s almost as if Vegas took him from his best game last year, when he threw for 209 yards against the Pittsburgh Steelers. I don’t expect Smith to break that number, but if you really want some action in Seattle or if you’re a Seahawks fan, go ahead and throw some money at that Over.

These quarterback backs — especially with the “new” quarterbacks in the new systems — seem a little silly to me to play in Week 1. I will say, though, that I like the longer Under on Smith completion at 36.5.

Player props

Noah Fant’s Total Expectations: Over 2.5 (-123). This is not only a revenge game for Wilson, but also for Fant. The former Bronco tight end didn’t really enjoy his time in Denver. He had issues with the offense and the way the team used it. He’s a threat down the field, but the Broncos’ previous quarterback woes affected his ceiling. Fant doesn’t exactly have the QB’s dream scenario in Seattle, but I like him to catch three passes on Monday night.

Rashaad Penny total rushing + receiving yards: Under 80.5 (-110). That number just seems a little inflated to me. I love Penny, though I question his consistency, but all of his big games have come late in the year. It’s a weird trend that I try not to put too much stock in, but if you believe the Broncos win this game, I think that’s a good bet.

Melvin Gordon rushing yards: Over 37.5 (-131). I kind of like this number. Everyone is excited about Javonte Williams — and for good reason — but Gordon is no chopped liver. He surpassed that number in 12 of 16 games last year, and if you believe the Broncos are winning, that’s all the more reason to bet on it.

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