Gerrit Cole to stay hot for Yankees at Fenway Park, plus other best bets for Tuesday

Good day sports fans, it’s Chris Bengel with you once again. Week 1 of the NFL season is officially in the books and I hope most of your favorite teams are 1-0.

I’m still trying to figure out what exactly happened in last night’s Broncos-Seahawks contest. While Nathaniel Hackett may end up being a great coach with the Broncos, he couldn’t have started with a worse loss.

With football officially over for a few days, let’s shift our focus to the diamond for Tuesday’s picks.

All Eastern times, and all odds via Caesars Sportsbook


🔥 Hot tickets

Yankees at Red Sox, 7:10 p.m. | TV: TBS

Latest Chances:

New York Yankees -160

  • Key trend: Yankees are 6-2 in their last eight games against a right-handed starter
  • Pick: Yankees (-165)

The Yankees have been riding slugger Aaron Judge’s back throughout the 2022 season. I expect that to continue as they begin a short two-game series against the Red Sox.

The Red Sox will send righty Nick Pivetta to the mound. If you’re a daily reader of this particular newsletter, then you’ll understand the utter disdain I have for Pivetta since his days pitching for the Phillies. Inconsistency has always been a common theme for him. The veteran shortstop has a 4-6 record with a 4.76 ERA in 14 starts at Fenway Park this season — and he’s given up 11 long balls in home starts this year.

On top of that, the Yankees have their ace Gerrit Cole in the bullpen. Cole has given up one earned run or less in two of his last three starts. Even on the road, I’m more than confident that the Bronx Bombers get in the win column in this country.


💰 Elections

PLEASURE

Brewers at Cardinals, 7:45 p.m. | TV: MLB.TV

Latest Chances:

Under 7.5

Pick: Under 7.5 runs (-105): I definitely like the Cardinals here with Jordan Montomgery on the mound, but the lineup is a little too fluid for my liking. I think this will be a low-scoring affair worth betting on, though. Montgomery has been sensational since being traded to the Cardinals from the Yankees at the deadline.

The lefty has compiled a 5-0 record and a 1.00 ERA in seven starts. Besides giving up five earned runs to the Braves last month, Montgomery has allowed just one run or less in every other start for the Cards. He held the Brewers to zero runs on just four hits in six innings earlier last month, and there’s little doubt he can hold them at bay again.

Meanwhile, Dave Bush will get the start for the Brewers. Bush has been a reliever all season, but he has thrived in that role with a 3.23 ERA. He’s obviously serving as the starter, so Bush probably won’t go deep in this game. However, the Brewers have a capable bullpen that is in the middle of the pack when it comes to allowing runs. With the strong lift, the bottom should probably be accessible in this place.

Key trend: Under is 6-1 in Brewers last seven games against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15

Braves at Giants, 21:45 | TV: MLB.TV
Pick: Kyle Wright over 4.5 shots (-167) —
It’s no secret that the Braves are one of the most dangerous teams in all of baseball. Part of the reason is their stellar pitching staff.

Kyle Wright has an MLB-best 17 wins. He may not be a tremendous wing, but his shot support is intriguing tonight. The Braves shortstop has recorded at least five hits in four of his last five outings. Additionally, in the four starts prior to that stretch, Wright recorded double-digit strikeouts in all four. He should be able to go deep in this game against a Giants team that has hit the fifth-most times in baseball this season.

Key trend: Wright has recorded at least five hits in four of his last five starts

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